Well Greg Thom Hogan has an interesting article up:
http://www.sansmirror.com/newsviews/and ... -four.html
Bottom line mirrorless/ILC cameras have bottomed out, the rapid growth of a few years back is "over" ground to a halt.
Meanwhile DSLR's are holding up, reality check is as many said...ILC's won't replace DSLR's. Tough times for the camera market overall and much predicted by myself
(too many makers jumped in here hoping to make a quick buck, party is over now!)
Smaller is not always more practical for the needs of some users. Whilst he says he thinks it will all be mirror less at one point, he gives no time frame for that.
I see no movement from anyone else to whip out the mirror (K-01 was a sales flop and not replaced) Canikon have nothing at all even rumoured in the pipe line for DSLR ish EVF type products. Maybe they will in a few years, maybe not.
Sony are banking on being there first. Problem for them is even if everyone else does away with the mirror (Canikon cannot and will not dump their mounts for DSLR's that would be suicide) how will Sony compete there? Like I said they have to "nail down these silly niggles" sort the flash/lens range out, get it done dusted and by offering more "bang per buck", if they don't Sony will just wander along ticking at around 10 % market share, a far cry from the "we'll take number 2" talk years back. For mirrorless to work for Sony they would have to be really eating into Canikon's sales, they're not with SLT and they probably won't with the new stuff next year.
Sony's SLT/mirror-less offensive is like operation "Wacht am Rhein", they're throwing everything they can lay their hands on in there, but the outcome can be predicted long before the battle is over. Bold yes, on paper impressive..but ultimately won't really make any difference in the DSLR market at all.
People are not going to dump their Canon 5dMkIII for a NEX, they're not going to dump their higher end APS-C for an ILC either. ILC market has limited growth as the users who buy them typically don't flesh out the system to DSLR levels. Not that I knock them, it just suits a certain type of user just like a DSLR does. Yes you get the odd OM-D switcher who's loving it and can live with no FF body like this:
http://www.thephoblographer.com/2012/06 ... om-d-e-m5/
That's great..each to his own needs.
ILC's don't replace DSLR's said it years back and it's proven a rock solid prediction. Paypal donations accepted