I think there is a huge market.
Consider my wife and the many people who feel like she does. She is too intimidated by the size and controls of SLR cameras but she can obviously see the difference in image quality between them and the box of compact P&S's we have. If she doesn't have one of those on her she would still rather use her cell-phone than bother with an SLR. She cares about how products look and how much space they take up in her purse.
For her the choice between a NEX and a m4/3 is obvious because the little bit of size difference and layout matters, let alone the huge difference when compared to an SLR. She also likes the fact that the 16mm pancake is so wide in angle of view because of baby showers, going away parties at work, etc.
I think there is many women like her who will be attracted to the NEX cameras.
With the oodles of compact P&S users in general we can break them down into 3 groups.
1. They have a cheap compact camera but they are so care-free when it comes to image quality they would just as well be happy if all they have is their phone and its built-in camera. Especially as cell-phones are getting higher megapixel sensors a huge majority still sees that as the be all-end all of image quality. Even had a few people try to get into heated arguments with me over it!
2. People who have a compact because of the size but do not like the image quality, for a while now...they either suffer or make the jump to SLR cameras.
3. People who have a compact and are fine with the image quality because of the size advantage over SLR's but won't accept cell-phone images.
For 2 and 3 a large portion of them now have a new option that will tweak interest when they are looking to upgrade their old camera or freshly get into photography.
A very large portion of entry/beginner DSLR users never get very deeply into advanced use...they use it as a better point and shoot or they let it gather dust until maybe its holiday or birthday time. For these people their entry/beginner level DSLR really has no advantages over a more portable, affordable, and "cool" Sony aNEX camera.
I think the camera will either sell very well or very, very well.....depending on the advertising Sony hits the public with. Right now there has been a decent amount of Sony TX7 advertisements on the television and local radio (San Diego, CA). If they do the same with the NEX and let people know that they "need" this new, sexy camera....it's going to blow away the sales of any DSLR in recent memory...and a great many of them combined.
For Average Joe and even many flavors of serious photographers, there is no reason not to get the smaller, more affordable camera that will give them just as good of results as entry/mid-level DSLR.
My half-brother who is the Nikon representative even put one on order, and he hasn't used anything besides free Nikons in a loooong time
